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Reverse DCF & Intrinsic Value Calculator

Reverse engineer what the current stock price implies about future cash flow growth · EOD close on 06 Nov 2026.

Interactive Reverse DCF & Intrinsic Value Calculator

Inversion Valuation Model

What annual cash flow growth is the market pricing into RELIANCE at ₹1,320.00?

Market-Implied FCF Growth
+19.8%/ yr (10Y)

Growth in normalised fcf (3y avg) needed to justify ₹1,320.00 at a 12% hurdle & 20x exit.

Historical Track Record
+6.6%/ yr

3-year compound growth in free cash flow (annual reports).

Intrinsic Fair Value
₹365.35

At +6.6%/yr growth · Price ₹1,320.00

Implied Margin of Safety
-72.3%
SIGNIFICANTLY OVERVALUED
The StockRadar Reverse DCF Takeaway

At ₹1,320.00, the market is pricing in +19.8% a year of growth in normalised fcf (3y avg) for the next 10 years, versus +6.6% a year delivered over the last 3 years. The price asks for more growth than the base case assumes — expectations are demanding. Using +6.6%/yr (historical growth, capped at 25%), fair value is ₹365.35 (-72.3% vs price).

Adjust Valuation Assumptions & Hurdle Rates

Discount Rate (WACC / Hurdle)12%
8% (Low Risk)12% (Equity Default)18% (High Hurdle)
Terminal Exit Multiple20x
10x (Mature/Cyclical)20x (Standard)35x (High Quality)
Your Expected Growth Rate (10Y)Historical (6.6%)
-10%+15%+35%
Starting Metric:
Base Year Cash Flow (₹ Cr):
Net debt: ₹2,60,673 ₹ Cr

5x5 Valuation Sensitivity Matrix (Fair Value per Share vs Hurdle & Exit Multiple)

Values in ₹ per share
Discount Rate \ Multiple14x17x20x23x26x
10% Hurdle
₹331.06
-74.9%
₹392.51
-70.3%
₹453.97
-65.6%
₹515.42
-61%
₹576.88
-56.3%
11% Hurdle
₹295.34
-77.6%
₹351.48
-73.4%
₹407.62
-69.1%
₹463.76
-64.9%
₹519.89
-60.6%
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Explore intrinsic values across 25 combinations of discount rates (10%–14%) and exit multiples (14x–26x), plus export the full 10-year projected cash flow model.

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How Reverse DCF Works: The Inversion & Intrinsic Valuation Framework

1Why Normal DCFs Fail

Traditional DCF models depend heavily on guesswork: an analyst assumes 18% growth and gets ₹2,200, while another assumes 12% and gets ₹1,400. In reality, garbage in equals garbage out.

2The Power of Inversion

Reverse DCF inverts the question: Instead of guessing the future, we ask: “Given today's price, what Free Cash Flow growth is the entire market collectively pricing in?”

3Evaluating Margin of Safety

If the market prices in 14% growth while the company has historically delivered 18%+ with high ROCE and low debt, an investor enjoys a clear, quantifiable margin of safety before making a transaction.